On October 1, Phillips 66 rose 3.09% in regular trading, trading at $263.2/share, with turnover of $161 million. The stock was lifted by a wave of analyst upgrades and a sector-wide rally in refining names driven by widening crack spreads tied to geopolitical tensions.
TD Cowen raised its price target on Phillips 66 to $295 from $255 on September 30, maintaining a Buy rating. This followed a string of September upgrades from Wells Fargo (target $335), UBS ($300), BMO Capital ($310), and Morgan Stanley ($284), all maintaining overweight or outperform ratings. The consensus mean target has risen sharply from around $233 in early September.
Geopolitical conflicts have pushed up global crack spreads, lifting the entire refining sector. Peers PBF Energy gained 5.28%, Marathon Petroleum rose 4.48%, Valero climbed 4.1%, and HF Sinclair added 3.88%, reinforcing broad-based momentum. Phillips 66 further benefits from a strong Q2 earnings beat of $9.41 EPS versus the $7.44 estimate, a $10 billion buyback authorization, and the $5 billion Western Gateway Pipeline joint venture with Kinder Morgan and HF Sinclair, all underpinning institutional confidence.
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