Cui Dongshu: August 2026 Pickup Truck Market Analysis

Stock News
Sep 26

Pickup production and sales: In August 2026, the pickup truck market sold 54,000 units, up 37% year-on-year and down 4% month-on-month, sitting at a high level for the month over the past five years. Sales from January to August totaled 454,000 units, an increase of 22%. The domestic market and export market show clearly differentiated patterns. Great Wall Motor Company Limited (ASX: 601633) continues to hold a strong leading position in pickups, with steady performance both domestically and abroad. Driven by continued year-on-year export growth, SAIC Maxus, JAC Motors, Zhengzhou Nissan, and Changan Automobile performed strongly. In the domestic pickup retail market, Great Wall Motor Company Limited (ASX: 601633), Jiangling Motors, Zhengzhou Nissan, Radar Auto, and Jiangxi Isuzu performed well, and the domestic "one superpower, multiple strong players" pickup landscape continues to hold.

Pickup exports: The overseas market for pickups is far larger than domestic demand, so one should not count on unrealistic domestic growth expectations. Going global is the only option for pickup makers seeking high growth. In August 2026, national pickup exports reached 38,000 units, up 82% year-on-year and down 5% month-on-month. From January to August 2026, national pickup exports totaled 266,000 units, up 45% year-on-year, with the industry's export share remaining at a high level. In 2024, pickup exports accounted for 45% of total pickup sales; in 2025, pickup exports reached 50%; in the cumulative period of 2026, pickup exports reached 55%; and in August 2026, pickup exports reached 70%. Chinese independent pickup exports have improved notably.

New energy pickups: In 2024, national new energy pickup sales were 21,200 units, up 170% year-on-year; in 2025, new energy pickups totaled 73,000 units, up 243%; in August 2026, new energy pickups totaled 9,000 units, up 150% year-on-year and down 2% month-on-month; from January to August 2026, new energy pickups totaled 62,000 units, up 18% year-on-year, forming a trend in which new energy pickups were slightly weaker than overall fuel pickup growth early in the year. With the development of electrification and passenger-oriented features, the pickup market's space will continue to improve gradually. Among new energy pickup sales in August: BYD pickups sold 4,300 units overseas, Geely Radar electric pickups sold 2,202 units, Zhengzhou Nissan sold 1,058 units, and Changan extended-range pickups sold 606 units, while other pickup makers also achieved a certain scale in new energy vehicles. As the domestic new energy pickup market starts up and the market is gradually cultivated, Chinese pickups are expected to develop faster in the future to meet domestic and international demand.

Overall analysis of the pickup market

1. Monthly trend of the pickup market over the years. The pickup wholesale market trend kept changing in 2025, strengthening noticeably toward year-end. Because the Spring Festival was earlier than in past years, pickup trends from February to August 2025 gained volume due to the later Spring Festival factor, pickup sales gradually declined from April to August, and export sales rebounded noticeably in October and November. As the policy impact was not obvious, pickups achieved relatively strong growth in January 2026, pickup sales fell slightly in February due to the Spring Festival factor, pickup makers pushed especially hard at the end of the quarter in March, pickups maintained strong growth from April to June, and sales in August remained on a strong trend. Pickups are a means-of-production model, so relatively few pickups are generally purchased before the Spring Festival, and pickup sales enter the peak season from March to May after the Spring Festival, which is also a growth point for demand from real estate, engineering projects, and institutional purchases. Passenger vehicle sales represent the quality of life and aspirations of Chinese consumers, but commercial vehicle sales represent the development conditions of China's small businesses and small private owners. Only when commercial vehicle demand rises and basic livelihood issues are resolved can the passenger vehicle market possibly recover. The pickup market also directly reflects the development situation of small private owners. The pickup market represented by Great Wall Motor Company Limited (ASX: 601633) has become a vanguard of the auto market's recovery after the pandemic. However, with the real estate downturn and heavy operating pressure in the tertiary sector, the pickup market's recovery has also been difficult. Due to the rapid activity in overseas pickup export markets, the pickup market is becoming increasingly complex. With the trendy play culture of middle-aged groups and greater space for self-driving and countryside trips, more people are choosing pickups for leisure. Therefore, pickups still face great difficulty entering cities, and the main demand is for a free small-city leisure life and outdoor work.

2. Comparison of the national pickup market trend in August. In August 2026, the pickup market sold 54,000 units, up 37% year-on-year and down 4% month-on-month, at a high level for the month over the past five years. Sales from January to August totaled 454,000 units, up 22%. The pickup market remained generally stable overall, with weakening domestic demand but strong export growth. Because pickup growth lies in exports while light truck growth lies in electrification, pickups still performed relatively better than light trucks and other segments.

3. Strong pickup export performance. Pickup exports in August 2026 reached 38,000 units, and exports have remained strong for several consecutive months. The export pickup trend from 2024 to 2026 has been relatively strong, and performance from March to August this year was even stronger than in the previous two years. The national pickup market exported 244,000 units cumulatively in 2024, a growth rate of 85%. In 2025, national pickup exports were 300,000 units, up 21% year-on-year. The overall industry export performance of pickups, represented by Great Wall Motor Company Limited (ASX: 601633), has been extremely strong. In August 2026, national pickup exports reached 38,000 units, up 82% year-on-year and down 5% month-on-month. From January to August 2026, national pickup exports totaled 266,000 units, up 45% year-on-year, with the industry's export share remaining at a high level. In 2024, pickup exports accounted for 45% of total pickup sales, and in 2025 pickup exports reached 50%. In the cumulative period of 2026, pickup exports reached 55% of total pickup sales, and in August 2026 pickup exports reached 71% of manufacturers' total volume. Chinese independent pickup exports have improved notably. As an internationalized model, the pickup has become the strongest category in China's commercial vehicle exports.

4. New energy pickup trend. Early new energy pickups had fluctuating growth characteristics similar to those of new energy commercial vehicles, with subsidy features. With the popularity of Tesla's pickup, new energy pickups have recently moved gradually toward consumer characteristics. BYD's overseas new energy pickups have performed strongly, and Geely Radar and others have done well in promoting private pickup consumption. The national new energy pickup market is gradually rising, and with Tesla's hot-selling pickup, China's new energy pickups are also gradually entering large-scale development. In 2024, national new energy pickup sales were 21,200 units, up 170% year-on-year; in 2025, new energy pickups totaled 73,000 units, up 243%; in August 2026, new energy pickups totaled 8,500 units, up 150% year-on-year and down 2% month-on-month; from January to August 2026, new energy pickups totaled 62,000 units, up 36% year-on-year, forming a trend in which new energy pickups were slightly weaker than overall fuel pickup growth early in the year.

Regional characteristics of pickup market sales

1. Regional changes in the pickup market. The main pickup market regions are mainly the southwest and northwest. Recently, pickup demand in the northwest has been relatively large, while new energy pickups in developed eastern regions have driven relatively good market growth. At present, in August 2026, pickup demand in the southwest and northwest accounted for about 47% of total demand, making them the two core markets, with the northwest market relatively large this year. As rainfall in western China increases and the northwest economy becomes more active, the western market has recently remained relatively stable while the eastern region has declined. Although the economy is active, the pickup markets in the central, northern, and central China regions have not grown substantially. Pickups still perform relatively strongly in northern and western markets, which is also because northern and western market economies are relatively less active and demand is mainly driven by planting and engineering construction. There have been breakthroughs in the development of privately used passenger-oriented pickups. With the development of electrification and passenger-oriented features, pickup sales in Guangdong have recovered to some extent this year, and recent battery electric and plug-in hybrid pickups remain worth anticipating.

2. Analysis of pickup sales regions. The main sales regions for the pickup market are still mainly small and medium-sized cities and county and township markets, but with the launch of electrified and passenger-oriented pickups, demand in large cities has improved. In August 2026, restricted-purchase markets such as Shenzhen performed relatively well, while county and township markets weakened recently, and fuel pickups in large-city markets currently show no obvious breakthrough. The performance of county and township markets in August was relatively weak. The market in mega-cities is gradually showing the shrinking characteristics of traditional pickups, while among restricted-purchase city markets, Beijing performed relatively well in pickups due to tight license plate supply. Markets such as Shenzhen and Tianjin, which performed relatively strongly earlier, were in a relatively weak state around the Spring Festival. Zhengzhou, Jinan, Wuhan, and others performed relatively strongly. Hangzhou, as a super-large urban-rural market with a geographic area larger than Beijing, has relatively good pickup demand from its tea farmer market.

Competitive analysis of China's pickup market

1. Analysis of pickup manufacturer performance. The main pickup manufacturers performed relatively well in the 2026 pickup market. Great Wall Motor Company Limited (ASX: 601633) maintained a strong absolute advantage in pickups, while Changan Automobile, BYD, SAIC Maxus, JAC Motors, and others had relatively strong August trends. With the explosive growth of the pickup export market, pickups from BYD, SAIC Maxus, Changan Automobile, and JAC Motors rose rapidly, creating a feature in which mid-tier companies squeezed the sales of tail-end companies. Recently, traditional large groups' strong pickup manufacturers have all been strong, especially SAIC Maxus and JAC, whose export performance has been outstanding. Great Wall Motor Company Limited (ASX: 601633) performed well in pickups both domestically and internationally, with strong vitality from new product launches. Changan Kaicene pickups recovered relatively well. As relative newcomers, Radar and Chery Automobile performed relatively well in pickups.

2. Trend of pickup manufacturers' domestic share. In 2026, the pickup market in domestic insurance data still maintained the "one superpower, multiple strong players" trend, but began to gradually show a trend of differentiation. Great Wall Motor Company Limited (ASX: 601633) stood out in pickup sales, while Chery pickups and others gradually entered. In August this year, Great Wall Motor Company Limited (ASX: 601633) led with a domestic pickup sales share of nearly 50%, Jiangling Motors and Zhengzhou Nissan maintained relatively strong positions, and Geely pickups surpassed Jiangxi Isuzu this month to gradually enter the mainstream ranks. Electrification is gradually upgrading the domestic market competition landscape. Recently, many manufacturers have had strong export performance, so the pickup market overall has been relatively strong due to export pull, with a huge contrast between domestic and export performance.

3. Trend of pickup manufacturers' exports. In August, some manufacturers' exports grew sharply month-on-month from July. Great Wall Motor Company Limited (ASX: 601633) still ranked first in cumulative pickup exports over the years. Recently, Changan Automobile, JAC pickups, BYD, and others showed extremely strong pickup export performance. Because SAIC Group has a good export foundation and a strong export system of its own, SAIC Maxus's export growth has been relatively strong.

4. Monthly trend of pickup market sales. In August, the main national pickup cities were Chongqing, Shenzhen, Zhengzhou, Chengdu, Nanning, Urumqi, and others. In particular, with the launch of electric pickups, demand for new energy pickups in large eastern cities such as Shenzhen was released relatively strongly.

5. Monthly regional trend of pickups in August. In recent years, along with electrification upgrades, pickup product updates and iterations have accelerated, and pickups have entered a market adjustment period over the past two years. According to pickup market tracking, Great Wall Motor Company Limited (ASX: 601633) occupies an absolutely dominant position of nearly 50% domestically, with outstanding share in the northwest and southwest regions. The total share of the "one superpower, three strong players" in the domestic pickup market reached nearly 70%, among which Jiangling Motors performed relatively strongly in East China and the Yangtze River basin; Zhengzhou Nissan did well in the northwest and central Yangtze River regions; and Jiangxi Isuzu performed very strongly in the southwest and northeast regions. Radar electric pickups gradually expanded their market and achieved a surpassing of Jiangxi Isuzu, while other pickup makers' competitive performance remained relatively stable. Because the effect of pickups entering cities is not obvious, current pickup growth mainly comes from the western market. Sales are mainly in the original fields of engineering and construction, municipal power, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, wholesale and retail, as well as entirely new customer groups such as high-end, passenger-oriented, and off-road leisure users. As China's aging population intensifies, the aging trend of migrant workers is obvious, and the trend of migrant workers returning home is obvious, driving recovery in small city and county-township markets. Traditional mainstream automakers' main models performed very strongly, and Great Wall Motor Company Limited (ASX: 601633) achieved very good product innovation results, with new products such as King Kong Cannon performing outstandingly. Recently, pickup electrification has accelerated, and the pickup trend in South China has been relatively strong, with huge contributions from Radar electric pickups and Changan plug-in hybrid pickups. In the future, with BYD pickups launching domestically, the new energy trend in the pickup market will become even more obvious.

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